Bitcoin’s seasonal pattern reveals potential risks. With the detrending feature in Seasonax, you can easily identify when Bitcoin is likely to experience declines, helping you minimize risks and optimize your investments.
Learn why the year within the election cycle matters more to market performance than the election outcome itself. Uncover key trends, including gold's potential rise after a weak start and the Nasdaq's challenging February-March period.
The Russell 2000 shows a striking seasonal pattern depending on whether the year ends with an odd or even digit. In even years, like 2024, small-cap stocks underperform significantly compared to the S&P 500, with a widening gap from March to October.
Gold has gained 50% in two years, but Newmont Mining has lagged behind. Seasonality shows its strongest phase is from November 27th to April 11th, with an average gain of 24.04%. Could now be the time to catch up?
Elections will take place in the USA on November 5th. In the media you can read a lot about the candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Certainly the political side is very important. But for you, as an investor, it is also important to consider how the markets behave during the elections.
You probably know the saying: “Sell in May and go away!” There is a lot of truth in this classic. Over the last 64 years, an investment in the Dow Jones achieved an average return of 6.60% in the winter half of the year, but only 0.09% in the summer half of the year from May - so practically nothing.
At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle.
But there is an even weaker month: September.
Die Aktienmärkte hatten Anfang August einen Einbruch erlitten. In der Tat ist der August auch saisonal ein schwacher Monat – ab 1970 der zweitschwächste im Jahreszyklus.
Doch es gibt einen noch schwächeren Monat: der September.
Last month’s issue was titled "Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?". It explained that volatility mostly increased seasonally in the period from mid-July. It also stated that the "purchase of volatility products" is possibly appropriate.
Most investors have probably heard of the two seasonal patterns shown – the Sell-in-May pattern and the autumn rally. However, there are many more seasonal and cyclical investment opportunities – and what only a few investors know will help you the most. Firstly, there are seasonal trends in other values as well. These include...
