Dimitri Speck

Dimitri Speck is a renowned financial analyst and fund manager, who has earned accolades for his innovative seasonal investment strategy. Dimitri is a prolific writer, with one of the biggest stock market letters in Germany, along with several books. He won several awards, including the Hedge Fund Journal’s award for the best European commodity fund in 2013 and the Scope Innovations Award in 2018.

Articles: 163

Three important markets: How do they fare in post-election years?

Learn why the year within the election cycle matters more to market performance than the election outcome itself. Uncover key trends, including gold's potential rise after a weak start and the Nasdaq's challenging February-March period.

February 5, 2025
commodities currency Gold Indices NASDAQ usd

2025? This Market Performs Well in Odd Years!

The Russell 2000 shows a striking seasonal pattern depending on whether the year ends with an odd or even digit. In even years, like 2024, small-cap stocks underperform significantly compared to the S&P 500, with a widening gap from March to October.

January 8, 2025
Indices Russell 2000

Gold bull market: Buy mines now?

Gold has gained 50% in two years, but Newmont Mining has lagged behind. Seasonality shows its strongest phase is from November 27th to April 11th, with an average gain of 24.04%. Could now be the time to catch up?

November 27, 2024
commodities Gold
1 Comment

The US Election: Will Stock Prices Rise or Fall?

Elections will take place in the USA on November 5th. In the media you can read a lot about the candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Certainly the political side is very important. But for you, as an investor, it is also important to consider how the markets behave during the elections.

How to significantly increase your profits

You probably know the saying: “Sell in May and go away!” There is a lot of truth in this classic. Over the last 64 years, an investment in the Dow Jones achieved an average return of 6.60% in the winter half of the year, but only 0.09% in the summer half of the year from May - so practically nothing.

October 2, 2024
1 Comment

The Weakest Month has Begun!

At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle. But there is an even weaker month: September.

September 4, 2024
Indices S&P 500
1 Comment

Seasonality Works!

Last month’s issue was titled "Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?". It explained that volatility mostly increased seasonally in the period from mid-July. It also stated that the "purchase of volatility products" is possibly appropriate.

August 7, 2024

How to increase your profits with Seasonality

How You Can Systematically Increase Your Profits with Seasonality

Most investors have probably heard of the two seasonal patterns shown – the Sell-in-May pattern and the autumn rally. However, there are many more seasonal and cyclical investment opportunities – and what only a few investors know will help you the most. Firstly, there are seasonal trends in other values as well. These include...

July 9, 2024
Seasonality

Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?

Article in German Dear Investor, Volatility, the tendency of prices to fluctuate, is not just an academic construct – there are also products such as ETFs based on it. Volatility has recently been quite low by historical standards. Can we…

Gold Performance Over the Year and the Month

Around 50% of current gold production flows into jewelry production. This has a considerable influence on the price of gold. The Indian wedding season in autumn, the Christmas season and the Chinese New Year increase the demand for gold for jewelry production, with purchases by jewelers taking place in the run-up to the respective festivities.

June 12, 2024
commodities Gold