Gold bull market: Buy mines now?
Gold has gained 50% in two years, but Newmont Mining has lagged behind. Seasonality shows its strongest phase is from November 27th to April 11th, with an average gain of 24.04%. Could now be the time to catch up?
Dimitri Speck
Dimitri Speck is a renowned financial analyst and fund manager, who has earned accolades for his innovative seasonal investment strategy. Dimitri is a prolific writer, with one of the biggest stock market letters in Germany, along with several books. He won several awards, including the Hedge Fund Journal’s award for the best European commodity fund in 2013 and the Scope Innovations Award in 2018.
The US Election: Will Stock Prices Rise or Fall?
Elections will take place in the USA on November 5th. In the media you can read a lot about the candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Certainly the political side is very important. But for you, as an investor, it is also important to consider how the markets behave during the elections.
How to significantly increase your profits
You probably know the saying: “Sell in May and go away!” There is a lot of truth in this classic. Over the last 64 years, an investment in the Dow Jones achieved an average return of 6.60% in the winter half of the year, but only 0.09% in the summer half of the year from May - so practically nothing.
The Weakest Month has Begun!
At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle.
But there is an even weaker month: September.
Seasonality Works!
Last month’s issue was titled "Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?". It explained that volatility mostly increased seasonally in the period from mid-July. It also stated that the "purchase of volatility products" is possibly appropriate.
How You Can Systematically Increase Your Profits with Seasonality
Most investors have probably heard of the two seasonal patterns shown – the Sell-in-May pattern and the autumn rally. However, there are many more seasonal and cyclical investment opportunities – and what only a few investors know will help you the most. Firstly, there are seasonal trends in other values as well. These include...
Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?
Article in German Volatility, the tendency of prices to fluctuate, is not just an academic construct – there are also products such as ETFs based on it. Volatility has recently been quite low by historical standards. Can we now expect…
Gold Performance Over the Year and the Month
Around 50% of current gold production flows into jewelry production. This has a considerable influence on the price of gold. The Indian wedding season in autumn, the Christmas season and the Chinese New Year increase the demand for gold for jewelry production, with purchases by jewelers taking place in the run-up to the respective festivities.
ZEW DAX Example: How to use Innovative Event Studies!
In this environment, many investors are turning their attention to economic indicators. One of the most important for Germany is the ZEW Index. More than 350 institutional investors are surveyed for their assessment of the economy. The ZEW Index is published monthly around the middle of the month.
What Threatens at the FED Meeting? Events Offer Systematic Benefits for Investors.
The next Fed meeting will take place in just over a week, from April 30 to May 1. In view of a higher-than-expected inflation rate, many investors are wondering whether the Fed will signal interest rate cuts this time, and by how much, and what this means for share prices.