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Giles Coghlan

Giles Coghlan

As a professional market analyst and commentator, Giles' goal is simple: to explain the current reason markets are moving the way they are so you that can make better trading decisions right now. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.
  • Articles: 494

Oil bulls to fight bearish seasonal signal

The geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has been providing a boost for oil prices on speculative flows. The risk of a wider conflict could threaten the oil supply to the world and that has been the reason for sudden buyers to step into the oil market pushing prices higher.

Meta Miss Ahead?

Meta earnings are due out after the close on Wednesday and their seasonal bias into month end has a distinctly dour outlook. From the start of the year Meta has gained over 150% and  it’s return has only fallen behind…

Watch for USDJPY selling

The 150 region on the USDJPY has seen intervention from Japan's Ministry of Finance in the recent past. Remember that the move higher in US yields, recently supported by a strong US retail sales print, also supports the dollar yen.

Q4 is super strong for the S&P500

Over the last few days, markets have been confronted by a confused message. On the one hand, the Feds recent messaging has become more dovish indicating that the recent surge in yields could mean the federal reserve doesn’t need to hike in November. However, on the other hand, the PPI print on Wednesday surprised significantly to the upside indicating the Fed had more work to do.  

Gold gains into the US CPI?

US CPI is expected to pull back to 3.6% from August’s print of 3.7% and the core is expected to fall for the sixth month in a row down to 4.1% from the prior reading of 4.3%. This should keep yields and the USD mildly pressured.