Giles Coghlan

Giles Coghlan

As a professional market analyst and commentator, Giles' goal is simple: to explain the current reason markets are moving the way they are so you that can make better trading decisions right now. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.
Nasdaq Performance Around Fed Meetings: Implications for December 18

Nasdaq and the Fed: Key Insights for December 18

The Nasdaq, dominated by rate-sensitive tech stocks, faces unique challenges around Federal Reserve meetings. Historical data shows a tendency for negative returns, with an annualized return of -40.94% on Fed announcement days. While rate cuts provide some relief, they don’t always guarantee sustained gains.
Expect these moves from the GBPUSD on the UK’s GDP print

Expect these moves from the GBPUSD on the UK’s GDP print

A sharp move lower in the GDP print should mean that the GBP falls on expectations of the Bank of England needing to move more quickly to interest rate cuts to support a struggling economy. Looking at Seasonax’s event feature you can see the sort of moves that can be expected in the event of a big miss. The largest drop was 1.88% in September 2024, when the UK GDP missed expectations.
Seasonal Strength: DAX's Strong Year-End Rally

Seasonal Strength: DAX’s Strong Year-End Rally

Germany's business outlook worsened in November, with the Ifo index dropping to 85.7, lower than expected, due to political instability and concerns over potential US trade tariffs under a Trump re-election. The country faces a second consecutive year of contraction, compounded by weak industrial and automotive sectors. However, consumption remains a bright spot.
Will NFP Increase The Case for a December Fed Rate Cut

Will NFP Increase The Case for a December Fed Rate Cut

The US labor market shows signs of broader weakness, with October's non-farm payrolls missing expectations. A weaker NFP report could strengthen the case for a December Fed rate cut, potentially boosting EURUSD. Seasonax’s event feature helps traders set precise targets ahead of big data points like this.
Is Nvidia a ‘buy the dip’ post earnings?

Is Nvidia a ‘buy the dip’ post earnings?

Nvidia unveiled strong fiscal Q3 results, with a 94% revenue jump to $35.1 billion, driven by AI-fueled demand for its chips. However, its forecast for Q4 sales of $37.5 billion fell short of some Wall Street expectations. The launch of its new Blackwell chips has strained margins, though production is ramping up to meet high demand.
December EURUSD bounce?

Is December the time for a EURUSD bounce?

With President Elect Trump expected to run inflationary policies that draw heavily on tariffs imposed on China and other countries the base expectation is for more USD strength. However, this narrative is a consensus view and if Donald Trump surprises everyone with a more conciliatory view to world trade that could result in a swift rise in the EURUSD pair.