Giles Coghlan

As a professional market analyst and commentator, Giles' goal is simple: to explain the current reason markets are moving the way they are so you that can make better trading decisions right now. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.

Articles: 494

Oil Slips as Seasonality and Market Forces Weigh Heavily

WTI Crude Oil entered the fourth quarter on a bearish note, sliding lower despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This comes amidst broader market concerns, as OPEC+ is expected to increase output while China’s economic slowdown looms.

October 2, 2024

China’s Latest Stimulus Measures and FXI ETF Seasonal Strength: An Opportunity for Investors?

China’s recent economic stimulus measures have created optimism in the market, providing a potential tailwind for the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI), which is now entering a historically strong period. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) offers diversified exposure to the largest Chinese companies across sectors like financials, technology, and energy.

October 1, 2024

EUR/USD: Bullish Bias Amid Dovish Fed and Seasonal Strength, but Risks Linger

Following the recent dovish Federal Reserve meeting, where the Fed confirmed a 50bps rate cut and reduced the dot plot projections, the EUR/USD has maintained a strong buy bias. The Fed's outlook, which suggests continued dollar weakness, has been further reinforced.

September 26, 2024

China 50: Can China’s Real Estate Reforms Revive the Market?

China's housing market has been a significant drag on the economy for the past few years, with the country battling to revive a sluggish property sector. Recent reports suggest that China is weighing the removal of major home buying restrictions.

September 25, 2024

Nike’s Revival: Just buy it?

The stock jumped 7.3% in anticipation of a strategic reset aimed at revitalizing the brand. Alongside this leadership change, seasonal data for Nike points to a historically strong period between September 23 and December 22.

September 23, 2024

Will Crude Oil Recover After Seasonal Weakness and Short Squeeze?

Crude oil prices are facing significant pressure this quarter, driven by China’s economic slowdown and signs of ample supply. WTI crude oil has experienced a notable seasonal downtrend during the period from September 17 to November 30.

September 19, 2024

S&P 500: Stocks Gain Pre-Fed, Fall Post-Fed—How Deep Could the Decline Be if the Fed Signals a Slower Rate Path?

As we approach the next Federal Reserve meeting the seasonal data suggests a typical pattern where stocks tend to rally leading into the Fed’s second meeting day but often decline afterward. The S&P 500 has experienced losses during this specific…

September 17, 2024

Pound Weakness: What Happens When the Bank of England Cuts Rates?

The British pound is under pressure as traders brace for potential rate cuts from the Bank of England (BoE). Historically, rate cuts have led to a significant decline in GBP The seasonal data supports this trend, showing an annualized return…

September 16, 2024

US CPI lift SP500 Amid Rate Cut Speculation

Will the US CPI Print Lift the S&P500 Amid Rate Cut Speculation?

The Federal Reserve is on the brink of initiating a rate-cutting cycle, with short-term interest rate (STIR) markets pricing in four full rate cuts by year-end. For this to unfold, one of the remaining three Fed meetings must deliver a…

September 10, 2024

JPY Bulls on the Rise: Why the Yen Could Soar Amid Shifting Central Bank Policies

Currency strategists are increasingly bullish on the Japanese yen following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate hike in July and the Federal Reserve's signal of upcoming rate cuts. Previously, many experts expected the yen to weaken further after a significant decline in the first half of the year.

September 6, 2024