Giles Coghlan

As a professional market analyst and commentator, Giles' goal is simple: to explain the current reason markets are moving the way they are so you that can make better trading decisions right now. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.

Articles: 518

Remember the ‘first day of the month effect’

The "first day of the month" effect in the S&P 500 refers to the observed tendency for stock returns to be higher on the first trading day of the month compared to other days. This phenomenon has been seen in various financial markets and is of particular interest to traders.

August 20, 2024

Will Seasonal Weakness Overshadow Taiwan Semiconductor’s Strong July Performance?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) is coming off a stellar performance in July, with revenue surging by 45%, reaching NT$256.95 billion ($7.9 billion). This impressive growth, driven by strong demand for artificial intelligence chips, especially from major clients like Nvidia Corp.

August 13, 2024

Will August see the AUDJPY pair fall?

Their is a strong seasonal bias for AUDJPY weakness during August. In the last 24 years you can see that the month of August is at the standout month of seasonal weakness with nearly 2% average falls. See the monthly ‘Average return by month’ bar chart below.

August 7, 2024

Time for turnaround Tuesday?

Today, we will explore the concept of "Turnaround Tuesday" in the S&P 500, examining why this pattern occurs and what it means for traders and investors. Turnaround Tuesday refers to the market phenomenon where the S&P 500 and other major indices often reverse their direction on Tuesdays

August 6, 2024

Can China’s Property Sector Bounce Into Year End?

China Resources Land Limited (CR Land) is a prominent real estate development company in China. It is a subsidiary of China Resources Holdings Company Limited, a state-owned conglomerate. So, this seasonal pattern may not apply this year, but if this is the time for a recovery could we see China Resources Land Limited strong seasonal pattern play out?

August 6, 2024

Silver’s set to soar

Silver possesses a dual character, prized both as a financial asset and as a crucial industrial component, particularly in clean-energy technologies. It is an essential element in solar panels, and with the industry experiencing significant growth.

August 2, 2024

Bitcoin’s summer blues

Bitcoin’s summer tends to be a weak period with average falls in the double digits between August 01 and September 29 over the last 13 years. The largest drop was over 60% and prices have only gained 23.08% of the time.

August 1, 2024

Gold glitters in the summer sun

Gold buying tends to increase in August due to several factors that influence demand August marks the beginning of the wedding season in India, one of the largest consumers of gold. Indian jewelers and households buy gold in preparation for…

July 30, 2024

Is Airbus ready for take off?

This week Airbus has upgraded its 20 year demand forecast which is led by wide body craft. They see the following: 33.51K single-aisle craft, +3% from the previous forecast42.43K aircraft – +4% from the previous forecast8920K wide-bodied craft, +9% from…

July 19, 2024

What to look for if American Express earnings miss

American Express (AXP) is a global integrated payments company known for its financial services, including credit card issuance, payment processing, and merchant acquiring. American Express is known for attracting high-spending customers, particularly in the travel and lifestyle sectors, offering premium…

July 18, 2024