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Giles Coghlan

Giles Coghlan

As a professional market analyst and commentator, Giles' goal is simple: to explain the current reason markets are moving the way they are so you that can make better trading decisions right now. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.
  • Articles: 534
FTSE100

Bailey to buckle the FTSE 100’s recent run?

The weakest month of the year for the FTSE 100 is September. From 1 September - 30 September, over the last 25 years the pattern shows a significant negative annualized return of -19.8%. Despite the negative trend, there is still a 48% win rate, indicating nearly half of the September months recorded gains.
nvidia enthusiasm?

Nvidia: misplaced enthusiasm?

As we approach Nvidia Corp.'s highly anticipated earnings report (Wednesday Aug 28), market watchers are bracing for another standout performance. The consensus among analysts points to a significant beat, with expectations running so high that it is thought Nvidia may raise its profit outlook.
Is gold’s run coming to an end in September?

Is gold’s run coming to an end in September?

The seasonal chart for gold, covering a 15-year period from August 2009 to August 2024, highlights a notable pattern of weakness in gold from early September to early October. This period historically correlates with a downturn, with a marked annualised return of -30.42% during this window.
Will August see the AUDJPY pair fall?

Will August see the AUDJPY pair fall?

Their is a strong seasonal bias for AUDJPY weakness during August. In the last 24 years you can see that the month of August is at the standout month of seasonal weakness with nearly 2% average falls. See the monthly ‘Average return by month’ bar chart below.
turnaround tuesday

Time for turnaround Tuesday?

Today, we will explore the concept of "Turnaround Tuesday" in the S&P 500, examining why this pattern occurs and what it means for traders and investors. Turnaround Tuesday refers to the market phenomenon where the S&P 500 and other major indices often reverse their direction on Tuesdays
Can China’s Property Sector Bounce Into Year End?

Can China’s Property Sector Bounce Into Year End?

China Resources Land Limited (CR Land) is a prominent real estate development company in China. It is a subsidiary of China Resources Holdings Company Limited, a state-owned conglomerate. So, this seasonal pattern may not apply this year, but if this is the time for a recovery could we see China Resources Land Limited strong seasonal pattern play out?