Boeing’s Recent Struggles  

Boeing’s third-quarter report brought disappointing news, with significant losses across its commercial aircraft and defense divisions. Combined, these units reported a $6.4 billion operating loss, pushing the company to announce workforce reductions and potential delays in production. Boeing’s cash flow position also worsened, with a free cash flow loss of $1.3 billion in the third quarter alone, leading to stock volatility and concerns about its financial health. Shares dropped by 2%, but the market quickly stabilized, reflecting Boeing’s importance to the U.S. economy and national security.

Seasonal Outlook  

Despite the recent financial challenges, Boeing’s seasonality presents a more optimistic outlook for the coming months. Historical data shows that between October 14 and December 7, Boeing typically sees significant gains, with an average annualized return of 68.38% and a win rate of 70%. Over the past 20 years, Boeing’s stock has demonstrated resilience during this period, delivering an average profit of 7.98%.

Why This Could Be a Buy Opportunity 

Boeing’s importance to U.S. national security, as well as its strategic position in both commercial and defense aviation, ensures that the company will likely receive government and institutional support to navigate its financial challenges. With Boeing struggling but not out, the stock may present an attractive dip-buying opportunity. Technically, the stock’s seasonal strength could indicate a near-term rally, aligning with broader market conditions and strategic moves to resolve labor disputes and production delays. If Boeing can address these challenges and stabilize its cash flow, investors might see a rebound in line with historical seasonal performance.

Technicals to Watch 

The stock is now in a major month support level marked below from March 2020 and July 2022. There is also a bullish engulfing candlestick from Friday October 11 indicating a potential short term reversal level on the daily chart. Is all the bad news priced in now? Can Boeing’s shares pick up from here?

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Trade risks
While the seasonal outlook is favourable, risks remain. Boeing is grappling with labor strikes, potential credit downgrades, and uncertainties surrounding defense contracts. Any further disruptions in production or delays in resolving the strikes could hinder the stock’s ability to recover in the short term.

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