Stay ahead of the markets with our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights newsletter. Delivered in both English and German, it provides expert analysis and actionable insights into seasonal market patterns. Curated by a dedicated editorial team led by renowned seasonal analyst Dimitri Speck, each issue offers timely trends, practical guidance, and unique perspectives to support your investment decisions.
Seasonal patterns rarely exist in isolation. When viewed alongside other instruments or timeframes, differences in strength, timing, and consistency begin to stand out. This broader perspective helps reveal how individual patterns behave within the wider market environment – often reshaping how they should be interpreted.
The S&P 500 often slows in March after strong early-year gains. Over the past 15 years, returns have been flat and volatility has picked up mid-month. But history shows momentum tends to improve from April through June, marking a clear seasonal shift.
The Artemis program is entering a new phase, increasing investor focus on aerospace and defense stocks. Airbus, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman play key roles across critical mission technologies. Historical seasonality highlights recurring strength windows in these companies. Investors can use these patterns to refine timing and positioning.
Periods that are historically difficult for stocks can reveal different dynamics in gold. By examining long-term seasonality and the four-year cycle, gold’s performance is placed into a broader market context that helps frame market behavior over time.
AstraZeneca is moving into a historically strong February–April phase, backed by a high win rate over 15 years. As clinical progress feeds into broader sentiment and price structure improves, seasonal and fundamental signals appear increasingly aligned heading into early Q2 amid renewed healthcare interest.
Historical data suggest that recurring seasonal patterns emerge around major sporting events and the decennial cycle. These patterns point to recurring shifts in market behavior at certain times of the year, offering a structured way to analyze historical market tendencies.
The year 2026 is a so-called midterm election year in the US four-year election cycle. Historically, it is the weakest period for the stock market, with below-average returns for the Dow Jones. Nevertheless, even in such years, targeted opportunities arise outside the overall market.
Platinum has delivered one of the strongest recurring winter seasonal patterns in precious metals, averaging nearly +8% from early December into February with an 84% historical win rate. This Q1 bias aligns with three consecutive years of projected market deficits and sustained physical tightness. Seasonality and structural scarcity continue to reinforce a compelling tactical and macro investment case.
The year-end rally on the stock markets has already begun! The DAX and S&P 500 have statistically shown strong performance from mid-November to early January. Historically, there have been many positive years with attractive returns. A good time to keep a close eye on the markets.
Broadcom exhibits strong seasonal performance: From the beginning of November to mid-December, the stock has risen by an average of 17% over the past ten years, with a success rate of 90%. This period marks the strongest seasonal increase of the year.
Amazon is entering one of its strongest historical trading windows just as investor attention turns to its upcoming earnings and the health of AWS. From October to November, Amazon shares have gained with an 80% win rate. Yet, concerns about cloud competition, AWS reliability, and market positioning add complexity to this otherwise bullish seasonal setup.
