Stay ahead of the markets with our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights newsletter. Delivered in both English and German, it provides expert analysis and actionable insights into seasonal market patterns. Curated by a dedicated editorial team led by renowned seasonal analyst Dimitri Speck, each issue offers timely trends, practical guidance, and unique perspectives to support your investment decisions.
Microsoft’s record-breaking $4 trillion valuation highlights its AI strength, but history suggests mid-September often brings weakness for the stock. Seasonality shows Microsoft has a decline between September and October, raising caution for investors as technicals hint at overextension.
Wars and reconstruction dominate the headlines, but do stocks like Rheinmetall and Heidelberg Materials really move with current conflicts? A closer look reveals distinct seasonal patterns that are largely independent of daily news. Investors can benefit from these recurring trends instead of reacting emotionally to war-related reports.
The US election influences stock prices even beyond election day. For the markets, the year of the four-year election cycle we are in is crucial. In the current post-election year, seasonals suggest a stronger upcoming seasonal decline.
Apple’s strong seasonal window from August to September has historically delivered an average return of +5.03% with a 72% win rate. This year, the bullish trend meets key macro events like earnings, tariff risks, and major leadership changes. A breakout could align technicals with seasonal strength.
Hydrogen technology offers a promising future, and Linde plc is at the forefront of this transition. With its strong seasonal patterns and a long-term upward trend, Linde presents attractive opportunities for short-term trades and long-term investments alike.
Gold typically enters its strongest seasonal phase in the second half of the year, with consistent gains driven by rising jewelry demand. Over the past 25 years, it has delivered an average return of nearly 10% during this period, making seasonality a powerful factor to consider when investing in gold.
From mid-June to early October, soybeans have posted losses in 11 of the past 14 years, averaging a -4.87% decline. With a win rate of just 21.43%, it’s one of the weakest seasonal periods. In 2025, trade tensions and weak Chinese demand could intensify this trend. Without a shift in trade dynamics, further downside is likely.
Cybersecurity is a booming investment theme in times of rising digital threats. Palo Alto’s stock not only shows a strong long-term uptrend but also offers attractive seasonal entry points for savvy, forward-looking, risk-conscious investors. These patterns can help you time opportunities with greater precision.
Bitcoin is known for its extreme price swings, but it also exhibits seasonal patterns. Historically, the period from May 21 to September 25 has been particularly weak, with an average annualized decline of -17.61% over the past seven years. Losses were especially severe in recent years, including a 36.19% drop in 2022. In contrast, the period from late September to May has yielded far stronger gains.
NextEra Energy tends to show notable strength between May and August, and again from October to year-end – patterns that align with increased energy demand and investor positioning. Despite political distractions, the company’s focus on wind, solar, and hydrogen has kept it on a long-term growth path.
