Stay ahead of the markets with our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights newsletter. Delivered in both English and German, it provides expert analysis and actionable insights into seasonal market patterns. Curated by a dedicated editorial team led by renowned seasonal analyst Dimitri Speck, each issue offers timely trends, practical guidance, and unique perspectives to support your investment decisions.
Amazon is entering one of its strongest historical trading windows as attention turns to upcoming earnings and AWS. From October 30 to November 30, shares averaged a 4.15% gain, with an 80% win rate. However, intensifying cloud competition and concerns about AWS reliability could significantly impact performance.
Healthcare costs continue to rise steadily, posing serious challenges to global affordability. UnitedHealth Group shows a strong long-term trend and remarkable seasonal gains from October, despite recent market turbulence and corrections.
Why do top traders often rely on just 10 years of data to spot seasonal trends? Dimitri Speck explains why this timeframe is often enough to reveal actionable patterns, how timing can matter more than sheer history, and why even a single outlier year rarely undermines the overall trend, making it a practical choice for reliable trading decisions.
Microsoft’s record-breaking $4 trillion valuation highlights its AI strength, but history suggests mid-September often brings weakness for the stock. Seasonality shows Microsoft has a decline between September and October, raising caution for investors as technicals hint at overextension.
Wars and reconstruction dominate the headlines, but do stocks like Rheinmetall and Heidelberg Materials really move with current conflicts? A closer look reveals distinct seasonal patterns that are largely independent of daily news. Investors can benefit from these recurring trends instead of reacting emotionally to war-related reports.
The US election influences stock prices even beyond election day. For the markets, the year of the four-year election cycle we are in is crucial. In the current post-election year, seasonals suggest a stronger upcoming seasonal decline.
Apple’s strong seasonal window from August to September has historically delivered an average return of +5.03% with a 72% win rate. This year, the bullish trend meets key macro events like earnings, tariff risks, and major leadership changes. A breakout could align technicals with seasonal strength.
Hydrogen technology offers a promising future, and Linde plc is at the forefront of this transition. With its strong seasonal patterns and a long-term upward trend, Linde presents attractive opportunities for short-term trades and long-term investments alike.
Gold typically enters its strongest seasonal phase in the second half of the year, with consistent gains driven by rising jewelry demand. Over the past 25 years, it has delivered an average return of nearly 10% during this period, making seasonality a powerful factor to consider when investing in gold.
From mid-June to early October, soybeans have posted losses in 11 of the past 14 years, averaging a -4.87% decline. With a win rate of just 21.43%, it’s one of the weakest seasonal periods. In 2025, trade tensions and weak Chinese demand could intensify this trend. Without a shift in trade dynamics, further downside is likely.
