Stay ahead of the markets by subscribing to our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights. Led by our Co-Founders Dimitri Speck and Tea Muratovic, this free newsletter will keep you up to date on the latest seasonal market trends and topics all year round.
Article in German You may already have guessed: when the vibrant colors of the autumn leaves are revealed in all their splendor, the strongest seasonal period of the year begins in the stock market – namely the year-end rally. Stocks…
Article in German The seasonally weak period in the S&P 500 Index lies directly ahead! First let us take a look at a normal seasonal chart of the S&P 500 Index. It has been calculated based on the average returns…
When I heard about Bitcoin for the first time in May 2011, it was trading at 8 US dollars. Today, more than eight years later, it trades at around 8,000 dollars. A thousandfold increase! Had I invested 1,000 dollars at…
Article in German Four times a year on the third Friday of March, June, September and December, contracts for stock index futures, stock index options and equity options expire concurrently. Derivatives contracts are not only expiring in the US on…
Article in German On 24 July 2020 the Olympic Summer Games will begin in Tokyo, the capital of Japan. In addition to the Olympics, Soccer World Cups are among the largest sporting events in the world. Are you also among…
Article in German Within nine months, yields on the 10-year treasury note have declined from 3.2% to 1.8%, once again approaching their all time lows. The situation is even more extreme in other developed countries. On Friday 02 August 2019,…
Article in German Global stock market returns during summer vs. winter periods Almost the entire return was generated in the winter months. The division into two time periods of equal length is merely a matter of convention though. Greater precision…
Article in German You can probably imagine that I am convinced of the merits of seasonality. However, even I was surprised that an investment strategy based on seasonality is apparently leaving numerous far more popular strategies in the dust. And…
Article in German In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I discussed the typical pattern of stock prices when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. As one would expect, the stock market tends to stabilize after cuts in the federal…
Article in German “This is the greatest economy in the history of our country”, Donald Trump opined just a few months ago. Alas, recently there is growing evidence of an economic slowdown. This has fueled speculation of imminent rate cuts…
