Bitcoin: Seasonal Summer Weakness
Dear Investor, When I heard about Bitcoin for the very first time in May of 2011, it traded at eight US dollars. As I write this, almost exactly eight years later on May 21 2019, it is trading at about…
Seasonal Insights
Stay ahead of the markets with our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights newsletter. Delivered in both English and German, it provides expert analysis and actionable insights into seasonal market patterns. Curated by a dedicated editorial team led by renowned seasonal analyst Dimitri Speck, each issue offers timely trends, practical guidance, and unique perspectives to support your investment decisions.
It is Time to Sell Real Estate
Here is how easily you can save money when purchasing a home, or earn additional money when selling one! Dear Investor, The first chart below shows the seasonal pattern in US home prices, i.e., the average trend based on the…
Sell in May and Go Away!
Article in German Dear Investor, Does this rule actually work? To find out whether it does, we have reviewed the stock market’s performance during the summer period from May to October and compared it to the performance during the winter…
The Effect of Earnings Season on Seasonal Price Patterns
Article in German Dear Investor, As a shareholder you are probably asking yourself every quarter how the earnings of companies in your portfolio will turn out. Whether they will beat analyst expectations often seems akin to a lottery. However, what…
The Extent of Stock Market Outperformance in the US, the UK and Germany Around the Turn of the Month
Article in German Dear Investor, In order to beat the market, you are probably – like many investors – spending a lot of time searching for rare undiscovered gems or sophisticated trading rules. There is actually a simpler way. I…
Intraweek Profit Opportunities: In 6 of 10 Countries a Single Day Outperforms the Entire Week!
Article in German In the Seasonal Insights issue of 13 February 2019 I presented a study illustrating the power of intraweek effects. The article was entitled “S&P 500 Index: A Single Day Beats the Entire Week!” The result of the…
How You Can Boost Your Stock Market Returns Significantly With A Simple Trick
Dear Investor, Seasonality helps with stock selection Everybody has probably heard about the end-of-year rally phenomenon by now. It affects the majority of stocks during the same time period, namely in the final weeks of the year. However, many people…
S&P 500 – A Single Day Beats the Entire Week
Tuesday is a particularly strong trading day, Friday a weak one Dear Investor, The chart below shows the annualized performance of the S&P 500 Index since the turn of the century in black, as well as the cumulative annualized return…
The Benefits of Seasonal Compounding
Dear Investor, Having a glimpse at our previous articles, you might have noticed that seasonal market trends are not unique to a handful of companies, but are a widespread phenomenon that many markets accommodate, often unknowingly. Trading on a stock…
Christmas Crash or Santa Claus Rally?
Article in German Dear Investor, Every year a certain stock market phenomenon is said to recur, anticipated with excitement by investors: the so-called Santa Claus rally. It is held that stock prices typically rise quite frequently and particularly strongly just…
Trump or Seasonality: Which One is Going to Prevail in the Dollar‘s Late Year Surge
Dear Investor, The US faces uncertain economic times, as Trump and Xi Jinping are still locked in a bitter trade dispute that is likely to go on for some time, creating uncertainty for the future of trade between the world’s…