Seasonal Insights

Stay ahead of the markets by subscribing to our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights. Led by our Co-Founders Dimitri Speck and Tea Muratovic, this free newsletter will keep you up to date on the latest seasonal market trends and topics all year round.

The Triple Witching Effect: Will Markets React This Friday?

One of the primary implications of a Triple Witching Day is the surge in trading volume and market volatility. Traders and institutional investors scramble to offset, close, or roll over their positions.

September 17, 2024
apple stocks

The Weakest Month has Begun!

At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle. But there is an even weaker month: September.

September 4, 2024
Indices S&P 500

The Next Big Move: September FED Meeting

Article in German Dear Investor, The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, on 17-18 September 2024, is a hotly anticipated date in the financial world. Many experts anticipate the Fed will hold rates steady at 5.25%-5.50%, waiting for inflation…

August 21, 2024
Events

Seasonality Works!

Last month’s issue was titled "Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?". It explained that volatility mostly increased seasonally in the period from mid-July. It also stated that the "purchase of volatility products" is possibly appropriate.

August 7, 2024

Welcome to the Trillionaire Club

Article in German Dear Investor, In the tech industry, six American companies have achieved valuations of at least $1 trillion, with five of them surpassing the $2 trillion mark. These giants—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia and the latest $2 trillion…

July 24, 2024
Amazon apple Microsoft stocks

Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?

Article in German Dear Investor, Volatility, the tendency of prices to fluctuate, is not just an academic construct – there are also products such as ETFs based on it. Volatility has recently been quite low by historical standards. Can we…

July 9, 2024
Indices S&P 500

Hot Stocks for the Hot Summer

The stock market doesn't take a holiday, but understanding how seasonality affects financial markets can help you make some smart summer moves. Let's dive into the world of summer stocks, and discover why certain stocks shine brighter during this season.

June 26, 2024

Gold Performance Over the Year and the Month

Around 50% of current gold production flows into jewelry production. This has a considerable influence on the price of gold. The Indian wedding season in autumn, the Christmas season and the Chinese New Year increase the demand for gold for jewelry production, with purchases by jewelers taking place in the run-up to the respective festivities.

June 12, 2024
commodities Gold

Scoring on the Stock Exchange During UEFA Euro 2024

This highly anticipated tournament, set to unfold across ten dynamic cities, promises to be the biggest sporting spectacle in Germany since the 2006 FIFA World Cup. While fans are gearing up to support their favorite teams, are you ready to pick your winning stocks?

May 29, 2024

ZEW DAX Example: How to use Innovative Event Studies!

In this environment, many investors are turning their attention to economic indicators. One of the most important for Germany is the ZEW Index. More than 350 institutional investors are surveyed for their assessment of the economy. The ZEW Index is published monthly around the middle of the month.

May 15, 2024
DAX Event Studies Indices ZEW