Stay ahead of the markets by subscribing to our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights. Led by our Co-Founders Dimitri Speck and Tea Muratovic, this free newsletter will keep you up to date on the latest seasonal market trends and topics all year round.
If you “sell in May and go away”, you are definitely on the right side of the trend from a statistical perspective: While gains were achieved in the summer months in three of the eleven largest stock markets in the…
Seasonax Event Studies As our readers are aware by now, investment decisions can be optimized with the help of statistics. After all, market anomalies that have occurred regularly in the past often tend to occur in the future as well.…
In recent issues of Seasonal Insights I have discussed two asset classes that tend to suffer performance problems in most years until the autumn, namely stocks and bitcoin. I thought you might for a change want to hear of an…
You are surely aware of the saying “sell in May and go away”. It is one of the best-known and oldest stock market truisms. And the saying is justified. In my article “Sell in May and Go Away – in…
Every investor makes trading decisions based on what happened in the past – there is no other way. What interests us is the future though. After all, what happens in the future ultimately determines investment success. But will patterns that…
You have probably noticed it already: stock market volatility has recently all but disappeared. This raises an important question for every investor: Has the market established a permanent plateau of low volatility, or is the current period of low volatility…
Many market participants believe simple phenomena in the stock market are purely random events and cannot recur consistently. Indeed, there is probably no stock market rule that will remain valid forever. However, there continue to be stock market phenomena –…
The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect. Although the month of October delivers an acceptable performance in seasonal terms if one disregards outliers like the…
Years ending in 7, such as the current year 2017, have a bad reputation among many stock market participants. Large price declines tend to occur quite frequently in these years. Just think of 1987, the year in which the largest…
We are proud of the fact that Seasonax made the cut into Bloomberg Global Macro Overview Q4 2017! Enjoy reading: ”The Quaterly Q4/2017“ Written by Oliver Woolf, CAIA, CMT, FRM, technical analysis specialist at Bloomberg LP. The chart below exhibits…
