Stay ahead of the markets by subscribing to our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights. Led by our Co-Founders Dimitri Speck and Tea Muratovic, this free newsletter will keep you up to date on the latest seasonal market trends and topics all year round.
Systematic Trading Based on Statistics Trading methods based on statistics represent an unusual approach for many investors. Evaluation of a security’s fundamental merits is not of concern, even though it can of course be done additionally. Rather, the only important…
Seasonality in Individual Stocks – Is it Based on Sound Evidence? People often wonder whether it is actually possible to make profitable trades by taking advantage of seasonal trends in individual stocks. Most investors accept the idea that seasonal trends…
In the past two issues of Seasonal Insights I have shown that many individual stocks display unique seasonal patterns. There is a variety of reasons for this phenomenon. Often internal procedures are responsible, which can e.g. lead to a company’s…
Seasonal charts enable one to discern seasonal trends at a glance, and see during which time periods precisely an instrument’s prospects are strong and what returns were generated on these occasions in the past. I would nevertheless recommend taking a…
If you “sell in May and go away”, you are definitely on the right side of the trend from a statistical perspective: While gains were achieved in the summer months in three of the eleven largest stock markets in the…
Seasonax Event Studies As our readers are aware by now, investment decisions can be optimized with the help of statistics. After all, market anomalies that have occurred regularly in the past often tend to occur in the future as well.…
In recent issues of Seasonal Insights I have discussed two asset classes that tend to suffer performance problems in most years until the autumn, namely stocks and bitcoin. I thought you might for a change want to hear of an…
You are surely aware of the saying “sell in May and go away”. It is one of the best-known and oldest stock market truisms. And the saying is justified. In my article “Sell in May and Go Away – in…
Every investor makes trading decisions based on what happened in the past – there is no other way. What interests us is the future though. After all, what happens in the future ultimately determines investment success. But will patterns that…
You have probably noticed it already: stock market volatility has recently all but disappeared. This raises an important question for every investor: Has the market established a permanent plateau of low volatility, or is the current period of low volatility…
