Seasonal Insights

Stay ahead of the markets by subscribing to our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights. Led by our Co-Founders Dimitri Speck and Tea Muratovic, this free newsletter will keep you up to date on the latest seasonal market trends and topics all year round.

October’s Stock Market Mojo

This September, the stock market acted just as we expected. Usually, September is a tough month for the S&P 500, and this year was no different. Investors may well be wondering therefore: “Is October going to bring some relief?”

October 4, 2023
JP Morgan Chase Pfizer stocks

The Triple Witching Effect: How Witching Days Shape Market Behavior

There is no doubt that a Triple Witching Day brings notable price swings. Curious about how to capitalize on this?

September 12, 2023
apple Stock Triple Witching

Steht die Volatilität vor einem Ausbruch?

Sie haben es vielleicht mitbekommen: Derzeit ist die implizite Volatilität, wie sie sich aus Optionspreisen am US-Aktienmarkt errechnet, relativ niedrig. Die Bank of America fand kürzlich sogar heraus, dass es seit 2008 nie günstiger war, sich über einen Zwölfmonatszeitraum abzusichern.

August 29, 2023
Dow Jones Indices

Is Volatility About to Breakout?

Currently, implied volatility, as calculated from option prices on the US stock market, is relatively low. The Bank of America recently found that there has not been a cheaper time to hedge over a twelve-month period since 2008. This raises these questions for you as an investor: has a phase of permanently low volatility now been reached? Or is the current low volatility merely the calm before the storm?

August 29, 2023
Dow Jones Indices

The Dog Days of Summer: How August Affects the Stock Market

August is widely known for its scorching heat and languid days. However, it often carries with it a unique behavioral pattern in the stock market. Historically, August has seen softer market movements, lighter trading volumes, and frequently a certain degree of pullback. But what drives these August anomalies? And amidst these fluctuations, which stocks remain promising investments?

August 16, 2023
Indices S&P 500

Wie schneiden Aktien in der zweiten Hälfte des Vorwahljahres ab?

Lieber Investor für viele Anleger kam der Anstieg der Aktienkurse in diesem Jahr überraschend. Tatsächlich kommt es aber im Jahr vor der Wahl eines US-Präsidenten oft zu starken Anstiegen an den Aktienmärkten. Nachdem die erste Hälfte des Jahres so gut…

August 1, 2023
Dow Jones Event Studies Indices

How do Stocks Perform in the Second Half of the Pre-Election Year?

Along with annual seasonality, the four-year cycle is one of the most important cycles on the U.S. stock market. This cycle is also called the election cycle because it is related to the election of the U.S. president.

August 1, 2023
Dow Jones Event Studies Indices

Lithium: Das weiße Gold des 21. Jahrhunderts

Silver-white, light, and highly reactive, lithium might not be the most famous element on the periodic table, but it is definitely one of the most influential at present in shaping our modern world. As the crucial ingredient of lithium-ion batteries, that power everything from your smartphone to electric vehicles (EVs), lithium has gained the status of the "white gold" of the 21st century.

July 18, 2023
commodities Lithium

White Gold Fever: Riding the Lithium Wave in the Stock Market

July 18, 2023
commodities Lithium

S&P 500: Which is the best day of the week?

As well as the seasonality of the year, there are other calendrical cycles such as the week or the month. Today, we are going to consider the performance of the S&P 500, analysed by looking at the days of the week from the year 2000. Believe it or not, there are individual days of the week that perform significantly better than others!

July 6, 2023
Indices S&P 500