The bottoms not in
That’s the market’s fear right now – there is more pain to come for stocks and the bottom is not in. At last Friday’s Jackson Hole Symposium Powell communicated to the market that the Fed is going to fight inflation…
Trading Ideas
Dive into daily market insights and trading opportunities in equity, forex, and commodity markets with our esteemed analyst Giles Coghlan. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.
Using seasonals & fundamentals together: AUDNZD Trade Case Study
Using seasonals & fundamentals together + 60 points on the AUDNZD Heading into the latest RBA meeting this week it made sense to be short the AUDNZD. There were three key reasons to expect AUD weakness against the NZD. China’s…
GBPUSD to gain on Truss plan?
The GBP has been pressured recently on USD strength, concerns over Brexit, stresses over a 2022 recession to last 15 months, huge energy price rises, and inflation projections from the BoE to go over 13%. So, the new plan from…
Can the DXY fall before the next Fed meeting?
The Federal Reserve meet on September 21 and short term interest rate markets are currently pricing in a 92% chance of a 75bps rate hike. Before they meet there are two key data points and a speech from Powell on…
AUDNZD selling at market?
The RBA meet on September 06 and there are a number of factors likely to weigh on the AUD going forwards Firstly, China’s growth is slowing and the AUD tends to rise and fall with China’s economic growth. Secondly, key…
Which consumer staples will perform best in a recession?
As the US increasingly faces the prospect of heading into a recession one sector that investors gravitate to is consumer staples. The logic is that consumers still need to buy certain products, but that they will gravitate towards stores targeting…
Seasonal trade to look at for September
The Bank of England brought forward projections for a 2023 projection to 2022 this year for the UK at their last meeting, See here for details of that meeting. Inflation was also expected to rise above 13% for the UK…
Seasonal trade of gold for the last month – review
Last month I took a long on gold based on its strong seasonal pattern in my trading community. See how I managed it here in line with the Fed’s so called dovish pivot at the last FOMC meeting and the…
Apple vs Microsoft
One of the helpful features of seasonax is the ability to compare different stocks. In the run up to the Jackson Hole Symposium, at the start of this week, stocks have been pressured on expectations that Jerome Powell will deliver…
The lira’s going low!
The country of Turkey is struggling with inflation at a 24 year high. Typically central banks would be hiking interest rates to deal with the inflation problem. However, President Erdogan has an unusual policy where he claims that raising interest…