Trading Ideas

Looking to trade with more confidence? Giles Coghlan shares expert analysis to help you spot opportunities and navigate risks in equities, forex, and commodities.

His clear, actionable outlooks are trusted by traders worldwide and featured in Reuters, WSJ, Business Insider, FT Adviser, NBC, and more.

Stay ahead with insights that cut through the noise – from one of the industry’s most respected analysts.

How will a Fed ‘hold’ this week impact the EURUSD?

How will a Fed ‘hold’ this week impact the EURUSD?

For the Fed’s meeting on Jan 29th the expectation from analysts and STIR markets is that the Fed will keep rates steady at 4.375% with it being seen as a 100% chance of an ‘on hold’ decision. Interestingly, we can see that over the last 10 years when the Fed has kept rates on hold the EURUSD has tended to upside gains with a 62.96% win percentage and the maximum gain being over 1%.

Can Seasonal Trends Push the FTSE 100 Higher?

Does the FTSE 100 have another leg higher to come?

The FTSE 100 recently surged to a record high of 8,505.22, supported by factors like a weaker British pound, robust corporate buyback programs, and strong sectoral performance. Historical seasonal patterns suggest a potential for further gains, with an average return of +1.68% between January 31 and February 27 and an 80% win rate over the past decade.

How will Trump’s US administration impact the USD?

What Impact Will Trump’s US Administration Have on the USD?

President Trump’s second term brings significant implications for the U.S. dollar (USD), driven by his fiscal and trade policies. Seasonal analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) shows a reliable upward trend from February 1st to March 15th, with an average gain of +1.55% and a 90% success rate. This historical strength, paired with supportive technical factors, presents a compelling opportunity for traders.