AUDNZD selling at market?
The RBA meet on September 06 and there are a number of factors likely to weigh on the AUD going forwards Firstly, China’s growth is slowing and the AUD tends to rise and fall with China’s economic growth. Secondly, key…
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Which consumer staples will perform best in a recession?
As the US increasingly faces the prospect of heading into a recession one sector that investors gravitate to is consumer staples. The logic is that consumers still need to buy certain products, but that they will gravitate towards stores targeting…
Seasonal trade to look at for September
The Bank of England brought forward projections for a 2023 projection to 2022 this year for the UK at their last meeting, See here for details of that meeting. Inflation was also expected to rise above 13% for the UK…
Seasonal trade of gold for the last month – review
Last month I took a long on gold based on its strong seasonal pattern in my trading community. See how I managed it here in line with the Fed’s so called dovish pivot at the last FOMC meeting and the…
Apple vs Microsoft
One of the helpful features of seasonax is the ability to compare different stocks. In the run up to the Jackson Hole Symposium, at the start of this week, stocks have been pressured on expectations that Jerome Powell will deliver…
The lira’s going low!
The country of Turkey is struggling with inflation at a 24 year high. Typically central banks would be hiking interest rates to deal with the inflation problem. However, President Erdogan has an unusual policy where he claims that raising interest…
Will Jackson Hole prove tough for tech?
Jerome Powell is under pressure at the Jackson Hole Symposium this week. After the last Fed meeting the Fed was perceived to have taken a ‘dovish pivot’ and that allowed the Nasdaq to move gradually higher. However, if Jerome Powell…
Will gold prices lift higher after the Jackson Hole symposium?
At the last Jackson Hole Symposium Jerome Powell expected inflation to be transitory. He also told participants that he saw little evidence of wage increases at the time that might threaten excessive inflation. It is reasonable to expect Jerome Powell…
Will Dr Copper’s seasonal strength show?
One of the nicknames for copper is ‘Dr Copper’ due to the ability of the asset to diagnose the health of the global economy. Copper is a key commodity used in expanding and growing economies, so copper demand tends to…
Finding US recession sector opportunities in the S&P500
Generally speaking two sectors that do well in a US recession are health cares stock and consumer staples stocks. Although consumers disposable income may fall they will still make consumer staple purchases, but often in more discount focus stores like…