This week Airbus has upgraded its 20 year demand forecast which is led by wide body craft. They see the following:

33.51K single-aisle craft, +3% from the previous forecast
42.43K aircraft – +4% from the previous forecast
8920K wide-bodied craft, +9% from the previous forecast

42.23K passenger and freighter craft on 2043 vs 24.26K in 2023
Including 940 freighters and 7980 passenger jets

Seasonally there is a period of strength ahead for Airbus into the second half of July. Over the last 25 years Airbus shares have risen 68% of the time for an average gain of 3.45%. The largest gain was 18.50% and the biggest drop was -18.15% in 2011.

This large fall was unusually large and if you remove this year from the seasonal data you can see that it bumps the pattern up considerably to have an average rise of 4.46%.

Technically, Airbus shares are trying to find support around the 200EMA on the weekly chart. Will this prove to be a turning point?

Trade risks
Previous seasonal patterns do not guarantee future seasonal patterns performance.

Remember, don’t just trade it Seasonax It!