Copper

Tariffs, Timing, and Trouble for Copper Prices

Copper’s Tariff Premium Faces Seasonal Reckoning

Copper prices have rallied sharply this year, largely driven by tariff fears. However, history shows a strong seasonal tendency for copper to weaken between mid-April and late June — a period that often delivers negative returns. As traders await final decisions on tariffs and face swelling US inventories, the risks of a correction are rising. Seasonal data, soft Chinese demand, and speculative positioning could all collide to drive prices lower.

Is Copper Calling?

This week stock markets in Hong Kong and mainland China saw snap gains on reports that the government might provide support. There are reports about a huge fund (worth about 2 trillion Chinese Yuan or around $278 billion) to stabilise the markets. This intervention was not unexpected as stock prices were getting close to the lowest point in 2022.

Is a copper boom coming?

The world is making a sharp pivot to ‘green energy’. One commodity that is crucial to that is copper. Copper is both relatively easy to shape and a great conductor. As electric vehicles, solar farms, wind farms and other renewable…