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currencies
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Expect 0.5%+ move on the EURUSD on Friday’s NFP
Instrument: EURUSD Percent move of instrument: -10.07% Winning trade percentage: N/A Start of seasonal pattern: NFP release End of seasonal pattern: End of day on NFP release On Friday we have the US non-farm payroll is print and markets are looking for reasons to…
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USDJPY sell bias if we see a surprise BoJ Hike
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Will the BoE and the BoJ sink the GBPJPY on Thursday?
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GBPUSD sell bias as the BoE may look to pause rates?
Recent economic data from the UK has fuelled speculation that the Bank of England is starting to consider pausing interest rates hikes in the UK. Furthermore, some recent speeches from MPC members, have added fuel to this speculation. BoE’s Governor…
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EURGBP: Seasonal strength heading into the ECB meeting
Heading into the ECB rate meeting on Thursday this week a Reuters poll from last week shows 39 out of 69 economists surveyed are expecting the European Central bank to keep rates unchanged at 3.75%. However 30 at the economists…
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Does the AUDNZD have a sell bias post the RBA meeting?
The Reserve Bank of Australia have moved into a wait-and-see mode before deciding on whether they need to hike interest rates further. At the latest central bank meeting they kept rates unchanged at 4.10% indicating that the July monthly CPI…
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Is a time of GBPJPY weakness ahead?
There is a very interesting seasonal pattern approaching in the GBPJPY pair. Recent gains in the pound are starting to look stretched. The Bank of England has been hiking interest rates to deal with rising inflation and that’s resulted in…
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Is now the time for GBPJPY sellers?
Recent UK data has shown signs of a sharp slowdown. On August 18 UK retail sales came in below market’s minimum expectations and so did the UK PMI reading on August 23. With GBP longs showing an extreme long position…
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Can USDJPY gains continue on rising US treasuries?
The rise in US Treasuries on thoughts the Fed may need to be more restrictive on rates has been nudging the USDJPY pair higher over August. Look at the relationship between US 10 year yields and the USDJPY overlay on…