Lieber Investor, „Sell in May and go away“ ist Ihnen vermutlich bekannt. Der beliebte saisonale Börsenspruch besagt, dass die sechs Sommermonate erheblich schlechtere Ergebnisse aufweisen als die sechs Wintermonate. Insbesondere für die US-Aktienmärkte gibt es viele Studien, die die Sommerschwäche…
Dear Investor, A recurring phenomenon is said to take place in the stock market every year: the Santa Claus rally, a.k.a. the year-end rally. It is held that stock prices typically rise particularly strongly just before the turn of the…
Dear Investor, If you “sell in May and go away”, you are definitely on the right side of the trend from a statistical perspective: While gains were achieved in the summer months in three of the eleven largest stock markets…
Dear Investor, Seasonax Event Studies As our readers are aware by now, investment decisions can be optimized with the help of statistics. After all, market anomalies that have occurred regularly in the past often tend to occur in the future…
Dear Investor, Although the month of October without outliers like the crashes of 1987 and 2008 delivers an acceptable performance in seasonal terms, these particularly strong declines in such short time periods are nevertheless scary: what use is it to…
Dear Investor, In order to beat the market, you are probably – like many investors – spending a lot of time searching for rare undiscovered gems or sophisticated trading rules. There is actually a simpler way. I want to show…
Dear Investor, Numerous strong markets moves were triggered in the wake of the US election outcome, including a rally in the US dollar. What is going to happen after this initial advance though? Will the “Trump rally” in the US…
Article in German Dear Investor, As you know, investment decisions can be optimized with the help of statistics. One possibility to do so is offered by the FOMC meeting strategy. A study published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New…
Article in German Dear Investor, An Old Seasonal Truism Most people are probably aware of the saying “sell in May and go away”. This popular seasonal Wall Street truism implies that the market’s performance is far worse in the six…
Dear Investor, The US central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds regular meetings, a total of eight times a year, and market participants look forward to their outcomes: will interest rates be lowered, will they be increased, are there…
