This week, the GBP could experience significant fluctuations as key events unfold. On Wednesday morning (UK time), UK Headline Inflation is expected to reveal one of the lowest readings in over a year, while the core reading is anticipated to…
Around 4am UK time on Friday this week the Bank of Japan meet and will decide on their monetary policy for the coming month. Speculation has been constantly surrounding the BoJ this year regarding whether they will exit their ultra…
Next week the Reserve Bank of Australia meet on Tuesday June 06 at 0530UK time. The expectations from short term interest rate markets are that rates will be unchanged at 3.85%. However, interest rate markets still see a terminal rate…
Next week the RBNZ is meeting and there is scope for some movement in the AUDNZD pair. At the last RBNZ meeting the RBNZ were very hawkish combating headline inflation that was over 7%. They projected a terminal rate of 5.5%…
This chart shows the seasonal impact of the US Producer Prices Index print over the last 275 prints. US inflation, alongside US labour data, is a key focus of the Federal Reserve right now. Check out to see how the seasonal…
On Thursday last week the Bank of England made a 50bps hike as expected. However, the decision was ultimately seen as a dovish one as the Bank Of England left open the possibility that it could be the last hike of…
That’s what the seasonal bias says from a historical event perspective. Over the last 23 years the seasonal pattern around a Bank of England Rate hike looks like this on the GBPUSD pair. On the day before the hike the GBPUSD…
The Bank of England brought forward projections for a 2023 projection to 2022 this year for the UK at their last meeting, See here for details of that meeting. Inflation was also expected to rise above 13% for the UK…
The country of Turkey is struggling with inflation at a 24 year high. Typically central banks would be hiking interest rates to deal with the inflation problem. However, President Erdogan has an unusual policy where he claims that raising interest…
Last Friday Canadian jobs printed below expectations with drops in the headline figure and the participation rate. However, the labour market is still fairly robust with the unemployment rate falling again to 4.9%. The US NFP print however showed a…
