Indices
More nasdaq weakness ahead?
The Federal reserve took a more hawkish tone in their latest rate meeting revising up the dot plot seeing higher interest rates in 2024 and beyond. The NASDAQ is typically sensitive to US rate increases, and this provides a natural…
The middle of the month bias for the Nikkei
One of the key features around seasonality is the so-called turn of the month affect. This is when major indices tend to gain around the end of a month and into the first few days of the new month. However…
Can a US jobs miss lift the S&P500 into the weekend?
The Federal Reserve is focusing very intently on the US labour market for signs that their rate hiking cycle is starting to cool demand. The way the market has been translation US economic data over the last few weeks is…
Will the Dax’s summer slump continue?
Over the last 25 years the two weakest months of the year for the Dax have been August and September. This year, at the time of writing, the Dax has fallen just over 5% so far. The question is will…
Nikkei seasonal patterns to note
Japanese stocks have been on a strong run this year on hopes that Japan may be exiting its stagflationary environment. Warren Buffet was positive over Japanese stocks earlier in the year and many US investors have been looking at investing…
Dax down?
Recently the Dax has been under pressure seeing solid days of selling on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. US debt default risk, geo-political tensions, a gloomy German IFO print, and high UK inflation likely to prompt higher rates from…