Indices

Three important markets: How do they fare in post-election years?

Learn why the year within the election cycle matters more to market performance than the election outcome itself. Uncover key trends, including gold's potential rise after a weak start and the Nasdaq's challenging February-March period.

February 5, 2025
commodities currency Gold Indices NASDAQ usd

2025? This Market Performs Well in Odd Years!

The Russell 2000 shows a striking seasonal pattern depending on whether the year ends with an odd or even digit. In even years, like 2024, small-cap stocks underperform significantly compared to the S&P 500, with a widening gap from March to October.

January 8, 2025
Indices Russell 2000

Will Markets End 2024 on a High Note?

Discover the "Santa Claus Rally," a seasonal phenomenon with a history of boosting stock prices during the holiday season. Learn how it impacts markets like the S&P 500 and DAX, and what factors could influence this year's rally.

December 11, 2024
commodities DAX Gold Indices S&P 500

Top Halloween Stocks to Watch

Legend has it that the Halloween Effect originated in the City of London in the late 16th century and has been passed from trader to trader ever since. The stock market performance improves dramatically after October 31st, with the strongest returns seen between November and April.

October 29, 2024
Indices S&P 500 stocks The Home Depot Tootsie Roll Ulta Beauty

The US Election: Will Stock Prices Rise or Fall?

Elections will take place in the USA on November 5th. In the media you can read a lot about the candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Certainly the political side is very important. But for you, as an investor, it is also important to consider how the markets behave during the elections.

October 16, 2024
Event Studies Indices S&P 500

The Weakest Month has Begun!

At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle. But there is an even weaker month: September.

September 4, 2024
Indices S&P 500

Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?

Article in German Dear Investor, Volatility, the tendency of prices to fluctuate, is not just an academic construct – there are also products such as ETFs based on it. Volatility has recently been quite low by historical standards. Can we…

July 9, 2024
Indices S&P 500

ZEW DAX Example: How to use Innovative Event Studies!

In this environment, many investors are turning their attention to economic indicators. One of the most important for Germany is the ZEW Index. More than 350 institutional investors are surveyed for their assessment of the economy. The ZEW Index is published monthly around the middle of the month.

May 15, 2024
DAX Event Studies Indices ZEW

“Sell in May”: Myth or Real Market Mover?

The legend says that the phrase originally came from an old English saying: "Sell in May and go away, and come back on St. Leger's Day." This advice was linked to British aristocrats who used to leave the hot city of London during the summer and return after the St. Leger's Stakes horse race in September. What began as a lifestyle choice for the wealthy has turned into a financial strategy observed in stock markets globally.

April 30, 2024
CAC40 DAX Dow Jones Event Studies FTSE100 Indices Nikkei 225

What Threatens at the FED Meeting? Events Offer Systematic Benefits for Investors.

The next Fed meeting will take place in just over a week, from April 30 to May 1. In view of a higher-than-expected inflation rate, many investors are wondering whether the Fed will signal interest rate cuts this time, and by how much, and what this means for share prices.

April 17, 2024
Event Studies Indices S&P 500