The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has historically posted strong gains between May 1 and May 25, with a 66.67% win rate. However, this year’s macro backdrop could disrupt that pattern. Mounting trade tensions and declining confidence in U.S. policy undermine traditional safe-haven flows. According to Deutsche Bank, we may be in the early stages of a “dramatic regime change” that challenges the dollar's status.
Did you know that the FTSE 100 has one of the strongest April patterns among global indices? With an average gain of +1.90% and a 72% win rate over the past 25 years, April has proven to be a key month for UK equities. Institutional inflows, tax-related investments, and dividend reinvestment all contribute to this seasonal strength. Explore the data behind this trend and see how you can leverage it in your strategy.
April has historically been the strongest month for the FTSE 100, delivering consistent gains over the past 25 years. Seasonal drivers like earnings momentum, fiscal year-end flows, and dividend reinvestment have supported this trend. However, with UK fiscal tightening in focus, market dynamics could shift.
Historically, the S&P 500 has shown an upside bias after Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) releases, with an average return of +0.17% in the following 10 days. With Fed Chair Powell’s cautious stance on rate cuts, this NFP report could be pivotal for market trends.
Historically, the DAX has gained +1.72% in the 16 days following German elections, with an 80% success rate. As political uncertainty clears, market-friendly policies could fuel another rally. Will this election follow the trend?
Learn why the year within the election cycle matters more to market performance than the election outcome itself. Uncover key trends, including gold's potential rise after a weak start and the Nasdaq's challenging February-March period.
Discover the "Santa Claus Rally," a seasonal phenomenon with a history of boosting stock prices during the holiday season. Learn how it impacts markets like the S&P 500 and DAX, and what factors could influence this year's rally.
Legend has it that the Halloween Effect originated in the City of London in the late 16th century and has been passed from trader to trader ever since. The stock market performance improves dramatically after October 31st, with the strongest returns seen between November and April.
Elections will take place in the USA on November 5th. In the media you can read a lot about the candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Certainly the political side is very important. But for you, as an investor, it is also important to consider how the markets behave during the elections.
At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle.
But there is an even weaker month: September.
Article in German Dear Investor, Volatility, the tendency of prices to fluctuate, is not just an academic construct – there are also products such as ETFs based on it. Volatility has recently been quite low by historical standards. Can we…
