NASDAQ

Nasdaq’s Seasonal Strength Meets CPI Volatility

As the February 12 CPI release approaches, traders brace for volatility in the Nasdaq 100. With inflation expectations rising and Fed Chair Powell set to speak, the index faces a pivotal moment. However, historical seasonality tells a different story—showing an 87.69% annualized return and a 65% win rate around CPI events.

February 11, 2025
Event Studies NASDAQ

Brace for Impact: Nasdaq’s Big Moves Around Friday’s NFP!

The Nasdaq 100 exhibits a bearish seasonal trend around Nonfarm Payroll releases, with a -5.02% annualized return and high volatility. Losses tend to outweigh gains, making risk management crucial.

February 6, 2025
NASDAQ

Three important markets: How do they fare in post-election years?

Learn why the year within the election cycle matters more to market performance than the election outcome itself. Uncover key trends, including gold's potential rise after a weak start and the Nasdaq's challenging February-March period.

February 5, 2025
commodities currency Gold Indices NASDAQ usd

Will Nasdaq rise into the Fed meeting on Wednesday?

Will the Nasdaq rise into the Fed meeting on Wednesday?

The Nasdaq is know for its sensitivity to Fed interest rates. The growth orientated stocks in the Nasdaq often rely heavily on borrowing to finance their operations and higher interest rates can make their margins tighter.

June 10, 2024
NASDAQ

Is the Nasdaq Set To Fall Through February?

The Nasdaq has a weak seasonal time of the year into the middle of March over the last 25 years. Despite having a winning seasonal outlook form a percentage point of view - the average decline is nearly 1.5% from Jan 18th through to March 13

January 19, 2024
NASDAQ

Is this Tech’s turn to fall?

There’s been a huge amount of flows into the tech sector this year, according to Deutsche Bank AG who see over $40 billion in cumulative global flows. However, with the Fed signalling higher rates for longer in last weeks meeting…

September 26, 2023
NASDAQ technology

More nasdaq weakness ahead?

The Federal reserve took a more hawkish tone in their latest rate meeting revising up the dot plot seeing higher interest rates in 2024 and beyond. The NASDAQ is typically sensitive to US rate increases, and this provides a natural…

September 22, 2023
Indices NASDAQ

Dollar Tree’s seasonal pattern ahead of earnings on Thursday

Dollar Tree will announce its earnings before the open on Thursday which makes it a good time to look at the seasonal pattern for the stock. Dollar Tree is a discount variety store in the US with a large chain…

August 23, 2023
Consumer Discretionary DollarTree NASDAQ

Nasdaq weakness ahead?

Over the last 25 years the two strongest months have been in July and October. However, the weakest months come in February, August, and September.

August 1, 2023
NASDAQ

Are Apple dips worth buying?

Investors have been increasingly concerned about sticker inflation around the world. This, combined with Powell’s recent insistence that two more rate hikes may well be ahead for the US, has resulted in a headwind for the US Nasdaq. The US…

June 29, 2023
Appe NASDAQ technology