Article in German Dear Investor, Novo Nordisk exhibits a brief, but very strong seasonal phase Take a look at the seasonal chart of Novo Nordisk below. This is not a standard price chart showing prices moves over a specific time…
Article in German Dear Investor, Mining stocks track precious metals seasonality Take a look at the seasonal chart of the HUI gold mining index below. This is not a standard chart depicting price moves over a specific time period. Rather,…
Article in German Dear Investor, As you can undoubtedly imagine, I am convinced of the validity of seasonal patterns. The fact that stocks, commodities or currencies exhibit seasonal trends is backed by exhaustive statistical studies. Moreover, there are sound fundamental…
Article in German Dear Investor, Global stock market returns during summer vs. winter periods Almost the entire return was generated in the winter months. The division into two time periods of equal length is merely a matter of convention though.…
Article in German Dear Investor, As a shareholder you are probably asking yourself every quarter how the earnings of companies in your portfolio will turn out. Whether they will beat analyst expectations often seems akin to a lottery. However, what…
Dear Investor, Seasonality helps with stock selection Everybody has probably heard about the end-of-year rally phenomenon by now. It affects the majority of stocks during the same time period, namely in the final weeks of the year. However, many people…
Dear Investor, Having a glimpse at our previous articles, you might have noticed that seasonal market trends are not unique to a handful of companies, but are a widespread phenomenon that many markets accommodate, often unknowingly. Trading on a stock…
Article in German Dear Investor, Every year a certain stock market phenomenon is said to recur, anticipated with excitement by investors: the so-called Santa Claus rally. It is held that stock prices typically rise quite frequently and particularly strongly just…
Dear Investor, In this issue of our Seasonal Insights, we will use a hands-on example, German shoe manufacturer and lifestyle brand Puma, to illustrate the process of our seasonal analysis. We will show you how to profit from its strong…
Dear Investor, You have probably heard about the Halloween effect or the autumn rally. The former term refers to the fact that stocks on average tend to perform significantly worse in the summer months than in the winter months, the…
