USD/JPY weakness!
The USDJPY pair shows seasonal weakness between now and August with an average fall of -1.36%. The USD has found significant buying since the start of the year due to expectations that the Fed will rapidly hike interest rates in…
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Forex Seasonality: The US Dollar Drop at The End of The Year
Article in German Dear Investor, In the context of seasonality, you may – just like most investors – primarily think of commodities and stock indexes. However, there are seasonal patterns in many other markets and instruments as well, ranging from…
Is a Platinum push coming?
The reasons for USD strength have been well documented this year as the Fed took a hawkish policy stance to control surging US inflation, and safe haven bids also boosted the USD. However, recently there has been a big rise…
Inflation threat: is gold seasonality favorable as well?
Article in German Dear Investor, There was a strong increase in recently released US inflation data. They exceeded expectations four times in a row and most recently stood at 5.4 percent. High inflation rates are a good reason to consider…
The Fed & USD Seasonal Weakness
The reasons for USD strength have been well documented this year as the Fed took a hawkish policy stance to control surging US inflation, and safe haven bids also boosted the USD. However, last week saw a big rise in…
Many Instruments Display Seasonal Patterns
Article in German Dear Investor, The US dollar typically declines at the end of the year – and recovers immediately thereafter The chart below shows the seasonal pattern of the US dollar index. This is not a standard price chart…
The Strange Behavior of the US Dollar in the Wake of Fed Rate Cuts
Article in German Dear Investor, In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I discussed the typical pattern of stock prices when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. As one would expect, the stock market tends to stabilize after cuts in…
Forex-Saisonalität: Der US-Dollar-Drop zum Jahresende
Beim Thema Saisonalität denken Sie vielleicht wie die meisten Anleger primär an Rohstoffe und Aktienindizes. Saisonale Muster gibt es aber auch in vielen anderen Märkten, etwa bei Einzelaktien oder bei Währungen. Wussten Sie beispielsweise, dass aktuell ein spannendes saisonales Muster…
Trump or Seasonality: Which One is Going to Prevail in the Dollar’s Late Year Surge?
Dear Investor, Numerous strong markets moves were triggered in the wake of the US election outcome, including a rally in the US dollar. What is going to happen after this initial advance though? Will the “Trump rally” in the US…