The rise in US Treasuries on thoughts the Fed may need to be more restrictive on rates has been nudging the USDJPY pair higher over August. Look at the relationship between US 10 year yields and the USDJPY overlay on…
Around 4am UK time on Friday this week the Bank of Japan meet and will decide on their monetary policy for the coming month. Speculation has been constantly surrounding the BoJ this year regarding whether they will exit their ultra…
The Bank of Japan is concerned about the continued weakness of the Yen as it increases costs for Japan’s domestic market. This concern ultimately led to an intervention in the Yen around the end of September which sent the USDJPY…
The JPY tends to strengthen around the summer and you can see that bias play out in the USDJPY pair. Over the last 22 years the USDJPY has fallen 14 times between July 27 and August 27. The average fall…
The BoJ has been expected to end their yield curve control for some time now as one of the only central banks to still maintain a very loose monetary policy. The SNB acted last week and surprised both Short Term…
Expectations are for the Fed to hike by 50bps at their meeting next week and then to signal another 50 bps hike. Jerome Powell has said that the neutral rates (at 2.4%) is the right level for rates by year…
